Continuing Jobless Claims shot up

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Published Date 11/21/2024

Today's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.

Rates Currently Trending: Neutral

Mortgage rates are moving sideways today. The MBS market worsened by -7 bps yesterday. This was not enough to increase mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced low volatility yesterday.

Today's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Housing: October Existing Home Sales were 3.96M versus estimates of 3.9M.

Jobs: Initial Weekly Claims continue to amaze on the downside with 213K versus estimates of 220K. Meanwhile, Continuing Claims shot up and broke the 1.9M mark for the first time since November 2021!!

Manufacturing: The Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey cratered to -5.5 versus estimates of 8.0 after a rare positive reading in October of 10.3.

Economic Indicators: The Conference Board's October Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) continue to show stagflation with a -0.4% reading versus estimates of -0.3%.

The Fed: We will hear from Hammack, Goolsbee, Schmid and Barr today.

Today's Potential Rate Volatility: Neutral

This morning markets are trading within a narrow channel. Volatility has started at moderate levels.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

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All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

J.C. Mier The Mortgage GOAT

Branch Manager/ Loan Officer

NMLS: 258527

Mortgage Goat LLC

130 N Preston rd #318, Prosper TX 75078

Company NMLS: 258527 /133739

Office: 469-628-4544

Cell: 469-628-4544

Email: jc@themortgagegoat.net

Web: http://www.themortgageGOAT.net