Published Date 7/15/2024
Stock indexes began better in futures trading this morning, rates a little higher, the 10 year note closed Friday at 4.19% at a key resistance level, this morning the note yield began at 4.23% +4 bps with MBS prices -3 bps from Friday.
This week there are no direct inflation releases. The Fed’s inflation data comes from the personal consumption index (PCE) and that won’t hit until July 26th, two weeks from now.
At 9:30 am the DJIA opened +242, NASDAQ +88, S&P +24. At 9:30 am the 10 year note 4.22% +3 bps from Friday mostly a technical issue that keeps the 10 year note from holding below 4.2%, the last time it traded below it was in mid-March. FNMA 6.0 30 year coupon at 9:30 am -6 bps from Friday’s close and+9 bps from 9:30 am Friday; the FNMA 6.6 coupon at 9:30 am -3 bps from Friday and +9 bps from 9:30 am Friday.
Jerome Powell scheduled at 12:30 pm.
This Week’s Economic Calendar:
Monday,
8:30 am July Empire State manufacturing index (expected -6.0, reported -6.5)
12:30 pm Jerome Powell a Discussion with Chair Jerome H. Powell at the Economic Club of Washington
Tuesday,
8:30 am June retail sales (month/month -0.2%, ex vehicles +0.1%, ex vehicles and gas +0.1%)
10 am May business inventories (+0.4%)
July NAHB housing market index (43 from 43 in June)
Wednesday,
7 am weekly MBA mortgage applications
8:30 am June housing starts and permits (starts 1.305 million from 1.277 million; permits 1.395 million from 1.386 million)
9:15 am June industrial production and capacity utilization (production +0.3% from +0.9%, cap utilization 78.5% from 78.7%)
1 pm 20 year bond auction
2 pm Fed beige Book
Thursday,
8:30 am weekly jobless claims (225K from 222k)
July Philly Fed manufacturing business (3.0 from 1.3)
10 am June leading economic indicators (-0.3% from -0.5%)
Source: TBWS
All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.
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NMLS: 258527
Cell: 469-628-4544
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